Extreme Weather

Stationarity on the Run: The New Normal for Manitoba’s Climate

A Nature Manitoba Discovery Evening

Speaker: Dr. Danny Blair, Associate Dean of Science, University of Winnipeg

Climate change is having an impact on extreme weather incidents in Manitoba, whether it is drought leading to destructive forest fires or intense storms that damage tree stands.

The concept of “normal” in climatology defines the range of conditions expected in the near future, based on the recent past, with the assumption that the recent past is a reasonable approximation of the near future. Thanks to climate change, this assumption of “stationarity” in the climate is no longer valid. One of the most important consequences of non-stationarity is that the probability of extreme events will change. Dr. Blair will discuss the evidence for non-stationarity in Manitoba’s rapidly changing climate, and will review the implications of continuing change in the coming decades on the nature and impacts of extreme weather.

Admission: $2 for Nature Manitoba members, $3 for non-members

Dates & Times

Monday, March 3, 2014
7:30 pm

Location

Salle Antoine-Gabourieau (2nd floor)
Le Centre Culturel Franco-Manitobain
340 Provencher Blvd
Winnipeg, MB

Registration Phone Number
204-943-9029
Registration Email
info@naturemanitoba.ca
Registration Website
http://www.naturemanitoba.ca